Analysis of the New Transformation of Winning Methods in Intelligent Warfare
2025-09-10
From the collision of bronze swords to the roar of tank engines to the saturation attack of unmanned "swarms", every leap in the form of war profoundly changes the way war is won. In the long era of cold and hot weapons, as well as mechanized warfare, attrition warfare used national wealth resources to offset and exhaust opponents' resistance. However, the new military revolution led by the information technology revolution and accelerating towards the era of intelligence is pushing the way of winning wars to a new dimension - dissipative warfare, which transforms the traditional mode of warfare that focuses on material and energy consumption into a comprehensive approach that combines material consumption, energy hedging, and information confrontation. War of attrition is the iron law of traditional forms of warfare. In the industrial era and the long years before it, war was mainly based on the confrontation of material and energy elements, and the balance of victory and defeat often tilted towards the side that could withstand greater material and energy losses. War of attrition is the main way of winning in traditional forms of warfare. In cold weapon warfare, the focus of confrontation lies in the competition between the number of troops, physical endurance, metal weapons, and food reserves. The victory or defeat of the war often depends on whose troops have a larger scale and whose logistics chain is more solid. The essence of sieges, which were commonly seen in ancient times, was a war of material reserves for the defending side and the consumption of military equipment for the attacking side; In the war of hot weapons, the use of gunpowder did not weaken the consumption of war, but instead pushed it to new heights. The intensive charge of infantry in the Napoleonic Wars and the brutal strangulation of trenches in the battles of Verdun and Somme during World War I all reflect the essence of attrition warfare, which is the exchange of steel and flesh for space; Mechanized warfare, with the emergence of platforms such as tanks, airplanes, and aircraft carriers, has pushed the scale of material and energy consumption to its peak. In World War II, the Battle of Kursk Tank Battle on the Soviet German battlefield and the fierce Battle for Iwo Jima on the Pacific battlefield were the ultimate collisions between the country's industrial production capacity and the military's ability to withstand casualties. The essence of attrition warfare is based on the comparison of material and energy elements. The competition of consumption war is about size and stock, which are static or slowly accumulating factors such as population base, resource reserves, industrial production capacity, and military strength. The main goal is to destroy the enemy's living forces, war materials, and deprive them of territory and resources. Essentially, it is a competition of material and energy elements between the opposing sides. The argument of Clausewitz that 'war is a violent act of forcing the enemy to obey our will' is based on the underlying logic of violent consumption. The winning mechanism of attrition warfare is that victory belongs to the side that can more persistently convert material resources into battlefield lethality and withstand greater losses. The war of attrition has exposed significant historical limitations in practice. From the long-term practice of traditional warfare, the fundamental limitations of attrition warfare are reflected in the enormous loss of life and material wealth, the high costs that society cannot afford, and the waste of a large amount of energy and resources on non critical targets or blind shelling, large-scale but inefficient charges, and other ineffective confrontations. When the opposing sides are close in strength and firm in will, the outcome is difficult to determine, and repeated tug of war can easily lead to a long-term consumption quagmire like the Western Front of World War I. Faced with the increasingly networked and information-based modern combat system, relying on the consumption mode of large-scale firepower coverage makes it difficult to accurately strike the opponent's key nodes and functional connections, resulting in twice the result with half the effort. The information technology revolution gave birth to the embryonic form of dissipative warfare. In the second half of the 20th century, the information technology revolution injected disruptive variables into the form of warfare, and information began to surpass material and energy, becoming the core winning factor. The form of information-based warfare took to the historical stage. The focus of information warfare has shifted. The Gulf War is regarded as a milestone in information warfare, with multinational forces leveraging reconnaissance aircraft, early warning aircraft, electronic warfare systems, precision guided weapons, and C4ISR systems to form overwhelming information advantages and achieve "one-way transparency" on the battlefield. The focus of this war is no longer on completely annihilating the opponent's massive ground forces, but on systematically destroying their command and control systems, air defense systems, communication hubs, and logistics supply lines, leading to the rapid disintegration of the opponent's overall combat capabilities and falling into a chaotic state of individual warfare and command failure. This marks the shift of the focus of war from "hard destruction" in the physical domain to "system breakdown" and functional paralysis in the information domain. The winning methods of information warfare have changed. Information warfare changes the way and goals of material and energy utilization through information advantages. The way to win is no longer simply to pursue the "consumption" of the opponent's material and energy, but to guide the flow of material and energy through efficient information flow, accurately acting on the "critical chain" of the enemy's combat system, achieving the maximum degree of chaos, disorder, functional disintegration, and overall effectiveness collapse of the enemy's system with minimal material and energy investment. From this, it can be seen that information warfare has begun to pursue the "entropy increase" of the enemy's combat system, that is, an increase in chaos, causing it to move from order to disorder, indicating that the dissipative warfare reflecting the complex system confrontation of intelligent warfare has begun to emerge. Dissipative warfare is a typical way of intelligent warfare. With the rapid development of intelligent technology and its wide application in military, intelligent warfare is becoming a new form of warfare after information warfare, and dissipative warfare has become a typical way of intelligent warfare. The dissipative warfare adapts to the requirements of the world security situation in the era. Entering the era of intelligence, intelligent technologies and their applications such as wide networks, big data, cloud computing, brain computer connections, intelligent chips, and deep learning are rapidly developing. The connections between countries and ethnic groups are becoming more extensive, and non-traditional security threats are emerging and intertwined with traditional security threats. The subject and scope of intelligent warfare are constantly expanding, and the time and space of war are constantly expanding. The war system is moving from relatively closed to more open, forming higher-level and larger scale confrontations. The dissipative warfare, as a winning method in the intelligent era, is becoming increasingly prominent. Dissipative warfare reflects the historical development of winning methods in warfare. Dissipative warfare has always existed, but before the emergence of intelligent warfare forms, due to technological constraints, it remained in a relatively low-level and simple state. War confrontation can only be highlighted as the confrontation between one element, material, energy, and information. Cold weapon warfare is mainly manifested as a confrontation centered on the human body dominated by material elements, while hot weapon and mechanized warfare are mainly manifested as a confrontation centered on the platform dominated by energy elements. Information warfare is mainly manifested as a confrontation centered on the network information system dominated by information elements. In the era of intelligence, intelligent technology highly unifies the cognitive, decision-making, and operational advantages in enemy friendly confrontation. Essentially, it highly unifies material, energy, and information, and forms an intelligent warfare form dominated by intelligent elements and centered on intelligent algorithms through intelligence empowerment, intelligence gathering, intelligence driving, and intelligence releasing. Its typical way is the dissipative warfare that reflects the complex system confrontation of intelligent warfare. Dissipative warfare reflects the resilience competition of complex systems in warfare. From the perspective of the winning mechanism, in order to gain a competitive advantage, it is necessary to use the basic principles of "negative entropy infusion, threshold recognition, phase transition triggering, and victory control" to construct a fast "perception, decision-making, action, and evaluation" dissipative warfare loop, continuously increase the enemy's entropy value in dynamic mixed games, and cause the enemy to lose overall combat capability. From the perspective of the winning path, dissipative warfare emphasizes the comprehensive use of forms such as material consumption, energy hedging, and information confrontation, and internally "ordering" to achieve logical concentration, instant enrichment, complementary advantages, and integrated advantages, forming a comprehensive combat power; Externally, entropy is generated through the continuous functioning of military, political, economic, technological, cultural, diplomatic and other component systems, until the cumulative effectiveness reaches a certain level, forming a "fluctuation" and achieving a sudden change in combat power and the emergence of system effectiveness. From the basic characteristics, dissipative warfare is manifested as a comprehensive game of confrontation, multiple subjects across domains, complex and diverse forms, integrated and abundant forces, and accumulated effectiveness. The core of confrontation has risen from the destruction of the physical domain and the control of the information domain to the game of disrupting and maintaining the inherent "orderliness" of the complex system of intelligent warfare. Dissipative warfare encompasses various forms of intelligent warfare. In addition to the traditional consumption confrontation between the two sides in land, sea, air, space, internet, electricity and other spaces, dissipative warfare also includes forms of struggle such as political isolation and siege, economic and trade financial blockade, technology industry chain disruption, cultural strategic output, authoritative media hype to seize discourse initiative, creating hot events to control public cognition, AI assisted social media weaving information cocoons, and using agents to open multilateral battlefields adopted by one or more countries against their opponents in various social domains. The diverse forms of dissipative warfare enable it to be conducted both in wartime and peacetime. The phrase "win first, then seek war" in Sun Tzu's Art of War has been given a new meaning in the preparation for war in the era of intelligence. The change in winning methods from attrition warfare to attrition warfare is manifested in the comprehensive confrontation of multiple domains such as physical and information domains in the intelligent era. It reflects a high degree of unity in political competition, economic competition, military offense and defense, cultural conflict, and diplomatic balance, reflecting the openness, complexity, and emergence of the intelligent warfare system. The evolution from attrition warfare to dissipation warfare is a comprehensive and profound transformation. The foundation for winning has shifted from relying on the competition of resource stocks such as population, mineral resources, and industrial base to relying on information advantages, intelligent algorithm advantages, network structure advantages, and the ability to dynamically regulate energy and information flows; The target of action has shifted from focusing on destroying physical entities such as soldiers, tanks, and factories to focusing on disrupting the "functionality" and "orderliness" of the war system; The pursuit of efficiency has shifted from absolute destruction and annihilation of living forces to the pursuit of high-efficiency "asymmetric paralysis", which means causing the maximum chaos and incapacitation of the enemy's combat system at the minimum cost to oneself, and pursuing "paralysis" rather than "destruction"; The focus of war has shifted from primarily physical confrontations in the land, sea, and sky domains to comprehensive games in multiple domains such as physical and information domains. Although physical domain confrontation still exists, it is often determined by the advantages of higher dimensional domains. The evolution from consumptive warfare to dissipative warfare reflects the change in winning advantage. In the era of intelligent warfare, victory will no longer simply belong to the side with the largest steel flow, but will inevitably belong to the side that can more efficiently "regulate" and "induce entropy" - that is, the side that can maintain a highly orderly and efficient operation of its own war system, while accurately and intelligently dismantling the orderliness of the enemy system, forcing it into irreversible "entropy increase" and chaos. To gain the advantage of winning wars, it is necessary to adapt to the openness, complexity, and emergence requirements of the intelligent warfare system, shift from the extensive consumption and application of single materials, energy, and information to the dissipation of the war system dominated by intelligent advantages, and strive to win initiative and advantages in the comprehensive game of multiple fields. The evolution from a war of attrition to a war of dissipation is an inevitable trend driven by the tide of technological revolution. Technology is the core combat capability and the most active and revolutionary factor in military development. Currently, with the rapid development of intelligent technology, only by actively embracing the wave of intelligence and firmly grasping the key to victory in the precise understanding, intelligent regulation, and efficient dissipation of the complex system of war, can we stand invincible in the ever-changing world games and profound changes in the ways of war in the future. (New Society)
Edit:QuanYi Responsible editor:Wang Xiaoxiao
Source:www.81cn
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